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This June seems to be weird with dry and warm weather in north and cool-rainy in south Europe. This is gonna change in the next days, but for how long?

 

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According to the latest weather data, the atmospheric depressions in the ten-day period will follow a northern track. This will allow cooler, rainier and windier conditions in the north, while a fair weather system will shield south Europe for a while with dry and sunny weather.

In particular, Europe will be divided into two areas, a northern with unsettled or almost autumnal weather and a southern with dry and sunny weather around the average of the season. The regions from the north of Spain, France, north of Italy, north of Balkans and further to the north will be affected by coll, windy and rainy weather at times. Interestingly, there is even a possibility for some occasional snowfalls over Scandinavian mounts. Regions around north Spain, south France, north Italy, Switzerland and north-northwest Balkans will be mostly affected by afternoon/evening thunderstorms, which may be severe at places.

In south Europe, unsettled weather will make a break with warmer and drier conditions (around average). There is just a possibility for showers over the mounts of the northern areas of this region. Small possibility also occurs for a heat wave in south Iberia, south Italy and Cyprus.

 

This situation will be preserved till 4-6/2020, when unsettled weather will be back in south-southeast, while warm air masses may prefere again a northern track!

 

 

 

The weather seems to remain unsettled for the most of Europe the next ten days of June. Watch how this unsettled weather will be distributed over our continent.

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In particular, for the period 10-20/6/2020:

1. The rise of the Azores anticyclone with a final destination over Anticyclone is expected to cause the formation of a new low pressure system over the northwest of Europe. This weather system will be followed by consecutive rain bands and zones of strong winds at times and places in the UK and France, while the temperature will remain around or below the average. In contrast, Scandinavia will face fairly warm and dry conditions with temperature much above the average.

2. At the same time, colder air masses will slide to the southwest from Russia affecting the Balkans, Switzerland, Italy, and Iberia with convective weather mostly in the afternoon. The temperature in all these regions will be fluctuating around the average.

3. No heat wave is expected this period over Europe. The only exception is some possibility for short periods of occasionally warm weather in Iberia.

4. From the regions mentioned in 2, the Balkans (till northern Greece, the southern of Germany and Switzerland appear to be highly likely to be affected by heavy thunderstorms at times.

 

The current article is just an estimation of the possible average situation over Europe the period 10-20/6/2020 over Europe.

 

This autumn is characterised by a very rainy beginning for the northwest of Europe and a dry one of southern regions. Is it going to change? So so… Let’s have a detailed look!

 

The synoptic conditions: The Azores anticyclone presents a trend to move northwards pushing some cold air southwards to the southeast of Europe. Depending on the movement of this anticyclone, this cold air mass may reach the Adriatic sea causing cyclogenesis. The possible low pressure system will affect southeast Europe with heavy rain and some snow over mount tops.

 

The UK: It will remain unstable with periods of heavy rain and strong winds especially in the central and north regions, but also some dry spells. The temperature will remain around average.

Scandinavia: It will turn into rainy with strong winds over the southern regions. In the north it will be a bit drier with some rain at times and possibilities for snow over hills and mountains. The temperature will drop significantly especially in the central and northern parts.

Iberia: No rain at all. Mild in the northern, with some heat air pushing from the south. Hotter in the south with an episode of heat wave.

The central Europe: A transitional zone of unsettled weather at the beginning with some rainfalls and some snow over eastern mountains. It will turn into drier for the rest of this region except for German and northeast of this region (countries close to Russia) with some rain episodes. Significant snow may occur over the Alps. West Italy is included in this zone.

The southeast corner: If the cyclogenesis we talked about takes place, the weather will significantly change with heavy rain in the west coast of Balkans and the southern places. Snow may be observed over northern mountain tops. The rest of Balkans will be affected by rain too, however this storm will focus on the places noted before. East Italy may be included.

 

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Significant weather change is expected in eastern Europe gradually the next days and especially from 10/7/2019 and then with temperature drop and afternoon thunderstorms. In contrast, a new heat wave may affect parts of Iberia and south France.

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In particular, part of cold air masses over Scandinavia and Russia will move southwards affecting central/eastern Europe (from Germany to Switzerland to Greece and Turkey) causing unsettled conditions with severe thunderstorms (increased possibilities for hailstorms) during afternoon/evening). In addition, the temperature will significantly drop to levels around or below average after a prolonged period of increased temperatures. As an exception, central/south Aegean and western Turkey will face dry and windy conditions (NE winds).

The cold air masses will remain over northeastern Europe, being dissipated, causing unsettled conditions with rainfalls at times and possibly strong winds at places. The temperatures will remain around or below average.

Unsettled conditions with (mostly) afternoon/evening thunderstorms may occur in northern Iberia with temperatures around average. In contrast, dry and warm conditions (with a possible heat wave) are expected in central/southern Iberia and southern France with temperatures >38°C.

Finally, in northwest Europe, the weather will remain within the climatological limits with periods of rain and sunny spells.

Europe may face extreme weather conditions and differences from places to places the last week (24-30/6/2019) of this June with a heat wave and heavy thunderstorms.

In particular, we expect a significant heat wave, which will affect Spain, Portugal, France, Germany, eastern/southern of England, Italy and Benelux with temperatures that may reach 34-36°C. However, the temperature may exceed 38-40°C at continental places of northwest Africa, central/eastern Spain and southern/central France. At this places dust advection will take place, but this will not be an extreme episode.

The weather will remain stormy with rain episodes at times in Ireland and western/northern UK. However, some storms may affect the UK as a whole at the end of this period.

For the rest of northern countries the weather is expected around normal with some rain episodes and temperatures around the average.

Unsettled conditions will possibly occur in central/eastern Balkans, continental eastern Europe and southern Alps/north Italy with thunderstorms mainly around afternoons and evenings. The temperatures will fluctuate around normal or below.

Etesians (north east winds) will settle over eastern Greece (Aegean) and western Turkey reaching up to 60km/h over seas some days in this period.

It should be noted that this is an overview of the weather in Europe and it cannot replace any official forecast of individual European countries.

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Stormy weather for southern, slightly cold at south east, mostly dry in the north. This is an overview of the weather in Europe around the Catholic Easter (20-22/4/2019).

 

The driest conditions should be expected in central-southern UK, around North Sea, southern Scandinavia and central-northeaster Europe with temperatures up to 17-20°C. Dry weather in the Aegean Sea, a bit cloudy (chances for short/light showers) in northern Crete on Saturday (20/4/2019) with temperatures between 14-17°C.

The weather will be normally rainy and windy at times in Scotland, northern Ireland, Iceland and northern Scandinavia, with a possibility for some snow over mounts of the very north of Scandinavia. The temperature will not exceed 10-12°C.

Convective weather will dominate in Iberia, southern France and eastern-southern Balkans with thunderstorms or showers mainly in the afternoon. However, on Monday storms will expand over Italy and Adriatic, where rainy/stormy conditions will occur. The temperature ~15-20°C.

The weather will be colder in Turkey and Cyprus and the rest of southeastern Mediterranean Sea with rain and snow over mounts. The temperature around 8°C in Turkey, not higher than 15-17°C in southern.

 

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This particular circulation pattern was being observed quite often this winter affecting with snow and cold weather the eastern Mediterranean. Here we analyse the scenarios for the last days of March 2019.

Gradually, within the last ten days of March, it seems that a strong anticyclonic system will be established over western Europe with its centre over the UK. If this happens, the colder air masses firstly located over Scandinavia will move southwards over eastern parts of Europe passing through Germany and Poland. In contrast, fair weather with foggy morning at places should be expected in the western parts of Europe (including the UK). Next, even if it is a bit of questionable, the cold air masses will move towards Balkans and eastern Mediterranean. Let’s see the three scenarios:

1. The cold air masses move to the west over Italy. In this scenario, the major activity will be observed in Italy and western Balkans with snow mainly over mounts and rainfalls for lower grounds. The cold air mass will be decayed and, thus, the temperature drop will not be significant.

2. The cold air masses move over Greece turning the weather into fairly wintry with low temperatures and snow in central-northern Greece and central-eastern Balkans over mounts and hills (possibility for snow on low grounds of northern regions).

3. The cold air masses move towards Aegean Sea and Turkey causing a short passage of cold weather and some rain (snow for higher grounds) in eastern Greece and heavy snowfalls in Turkey. Cyprus will be also affected with rain and snow over higher grounds.

 

In any of the cases, southern Iberia and northwestern coastal area of Africa will be affected by convection and storms.

 

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You can monitor the current temperature observations in southern Balkans through our live maps HERE.

 

 

 

EUROPE WEATHER

After a long period of high pressure conditions and mostly dry weather over the western Europe, the weather pattern over our continent changes at least for a while.

 

During the period between 20/1 and 25/1/2019, the Azores anticyclone is going to be restricted over its original position (Azores islands). For this reason, at the beginning of this period we should expect an extensive low pressure system over northwest Europe with a short snow episode mostly over Iceland, Scotland and northern England. Cold weather will dominate over central and eastern countries with some mainly light snow in coastal areas of Scandinavia, eastern Europe and northern Balkans. This cold air mass, then, will move south-westwards combined with a deep low pressure system affecting regions of France, Iberia and Italy and Alps with snow in northern regions and rainfalls in southern regions. Heavy snowfalls may occur over Iberian, Moroccan and Algerian mountains. The weather will remain milder in southeastern Europe with southerlies, rainfalls in western and southern coasts and a possibility for African dust transportation.

 

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EUROPE WEATHER