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The weather seems to remain unsettled for the most of Europe the next ten days of June. Watch how this unsettled weather will be distributed over our continent.

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In particular, for the period 10-20/6/2020:

1. The rise of the Azores anticyclone with a final destination over Anticyclone is expected to cause the formation of a new low pressure system over the northwest of Europe. This weather system will be followed by consecutive rain bands and zones of strong winds at times and places in the UK and France, while the temperature will remain around or below the average. In contrast, Scandinavia will face fairly warm and dry conditions with temperature much above the average.

2. At the same time, colder air masses will slide to the southwest from Russia affecting the Balkans, Switzerland, Italy, and Iberia with convective weather mostly in the afternoon. The temperature in all these regions will be fluctuating around the average.

3. No heat wave is expected this period over Europe. The only exception is some possibility for short periods of occasionally warm weather in Iberia.

4. From the regions mentioned in 2, the Balkans (till northern Greece, the southern of Germany and Switzerland appear to be highly likely to be affected by heavy thunderstorms at times.

 

The current article is just an estimation of the possible average situation over Europe the period 10-20/6/2020 over Europe.

 

Obviously spring is a season of unsettled weather with ups and downs. However, this spring seems to follow almost strictly wintry or summer patterns.

 

In the satellite image you may observe snow covered Scandinavia and African dust over southeast Europe.

 

You may see the current observations in Thessaloniki HERE.

During the last week, extreme weather was observed across Europe forming a weather dipole between north and south countries. Snowfalls occurred in Scandinavia and Russia, while an unusual heat wave for the season took place in Greece.

In particular, the temperature in northern Europe was observed to be in general higher than the average for May by 8-10°C (without breaking any record). However, negative temperatures were observed in many places (e.g. in Stockholm the temperature dropped to -2°C ον 14/5/2020). In the following chart you may see temperature deviations from the temperature average of this season on 16/5/2020. It should be highlighted that the entire week (11-17/5/2020) the situation was more or less in the same pattern.

 

 

In contrast, in the southeast corner of Europe, we observed the highest temperatures ever for the month of May. In Athens and Thessaloniki (two biggest cities in Greece) the temperatures reached the extreme highest values for this month (36°C and 33°C respectively). The highest ever temperature for May was recoerded in southern Greece, in Sparta, where the weather station recorded a highest value of slightly above than 40°C.

The following videos showing this weather contrast over Europe. The first three videos come from Russia and Norway:

 

In contrast, Greeks searched for a cool place by the sea close by the large urban regions. The first video is from Epanomi (Thessaloniki) and the second from Vouliagmeni (Athens):

Mild weather in north and west Europe is coming to an end. Southeast regions will be the warmer european corner for the next ten days.

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While southeast Europe having a taste of autumn spells this week, the western regions enjoy mild weather. This scenery is going to rapidly change starting on 1/11/2019, as massive low pressure systems are expected to be developed and affect such regions turning weather pattern into a semi-wintry one.

In particular, the northwest countries (UK, Scandinavia -mostly western-, northern parts of continental Europe) should face consecutive cyclonic systems following by bands of severe rainfall and strong winds. In north and central parts of Scandinavia it is highly likely that the first significant snowfall episodes will occur even over lower ground regions. The rest of western and northern region of our continent will be affected by shortwave troughs, which will be turning the weather at times into rainy with some snow over mounts (Pyrenee and the Alps). The temperature in all these regions will remain around or below average.

Finally, in the southeast the weather will change into milder and warm for the season. Overcast is expected at times with some rain over western coasts as a result of the west flow regime. African dust transportation episodes may occur here.

 

This autumn is characterised by a very rainy beginning for the northwest of Europe and a dry one of southern regions. Is it going to change? So so… Let’s have a detailed look!

 

The synoptic conditions: The Azores anticyclone presents a trend to move northwards pushing some cold air southwards to the southeast of Europe. Depending on the movement of this anticyclone, this cold air mass may reach the Adriatic sea causing cyclogenesis. The possible low pressure system will affect southeast Europe with heavy rain and some snow over mount tops.

 

The UK: It will remain unstable with periods of heavy rain and strong winds especially in the central and north regions, but also some dry spells. The temperature will remain around average.

Scandinavia: It will turn into rainy with strong winds over the southern regions. In the north it will be a bit drier with some rain at times and possibilities for snow over hills and mountains. The temperature will drop significantly especially in the central and northern parts.

Iberia: No rain at all. Mild in the northern, with some heat air pushing from the south. Hotter in the south with an episode of heat wave.

The central Europe: A transitional zone of unsettled weather at the beginning with some rainfalls and some snow over eastern mountains. It will turn into drier for the rest of this region except for German and northeast of this region (countries close to Russia) with some rain episodes. Significant snow may occur over the Alps. West Italy is included in this zone.

The southeast corner: If the cyclogenesis we talked about takes place, the weather will significantly change with heavy rain in the west coast of Balkans and the southern places. Snow may be observed over northern mountain tops. The rest of Balkans will be affected by rain too, however this storm will focus on the places noted before. East Italy may be included.

 

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EUROPE WEATHER OVERVIEW MAP MAY

The weather is going to change dramatically the upcoming week in central and mainly eastern Europe from Sunday (12/5/2019) presenting autumnal traits.

 

In particular, from Sunday and then, the Azores anticyclone will be gradually developed and established in western Europe with a centre over the UK. This will result in better (fair and dry) weather conditions in western Europe with hot for the season temperatures over south and west Iberia (up to 35-37°C).

This situation will push colder arctic air masses to invade north and eastern Europe. Snow will occur in north-central Scandinavia even on lower ground regions, while some snow may be observed over hills/mounts in the northern regions of central/eastern Europe (such as eastern Germany, Poland etc).

Next, the majority of eastern Europe, from Italy and further to the east, will be affected by stormy and colder than average weather with rain at times and afternoon thunderstorms mostly in central and western regions. The most severe weather, where hailstorms may occur, is expected in eastern Italy, western Balkans and possibly regions of northeastern Balkans far from the sea.

The weather will remain fair, dry and hot in Cyprus and eastern Turkey.

 

The weather may completely be reversed from 18/5/2019 and then with a possible heat wave in southeastern Europe and rainy weather for the western.

 

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EUROPE WEATHER OVERVIEW MAP MAY

 

 

Stormy weather for southern, slightly cold at south east, mostly dry in the north. This is an overview of the weather in Europe around the Catholic Easter (20-22/4/2019).

 

The driest conditions should be expected in central-southern UK, around North Sea, southern Scandinavia and central-northeaster Europe with temperatures up to 17-20°C. Dry weather in the Aegean Sea, a bit cloudy (chances for short/light showers) in northern Crete on Saturday (20/4/2019) with temperatures between 14-17°C.

The weather will be normally rainy and windy at times in Scotland, northern Ireland, Iceland and northern Scandinavia, with a possibility for some snow over mounts of the very north of Scandinavia. The temperature will not exceed 10-12°C.

Convective weather will dominate in Iberia, southern France and eastern-southern Balkans with thunderstorms or showers mainly in the afternoon. However, on Monday storms will expand over Italy and Adriatic, where rainy/stormy conditions will occur. The temperature ~15-20°C.

The weather will be colder in Turkey and Cyprus and the rest of southeastern Mediterranean Sea with rain and snow over mounts. The temperature around 8°C in Turkey, not higher than 15-17°C in southern.

 

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