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Another cool summer for the south and warm for the north is on track. A heat wave occurred the last 5 days in southeast, which is gradually coming to an end. Let’s have an overview of the early August weather.

 

In particular, after the first attempt of August to bring some cooler air in the southeast, there will be a second one much more successful within the upcoming week. The temperature is going to drop to May levels, while convective weather will affect most of Balkans, Italy and the mainland of Greece for around 3-5 days. The reason is a new atmospheric depression in the middle troposphere, which will move from central Europe to the east-southeast affecting the southeast corner of Europe with temperature drop and thunderstorms/rain. In contrast, the weather will be improved over west and north Europe especially after 7/8/2020 with 30’s coming up in many places, even in south England and southern of Scandinavia for at least 3-5 days.

 

In case you are going to visit southeast Europe, you may face the following situation:

a. Thunderstorms or showers may be severe at times and places around afternoon

b. South Aegean islands demonstrate the least possibility for thunderstorms or any weather.

c. The temperature drop will be significant with maximum values in continental areas around 30-32°C or less and minimum around 20°C or less.

d. Northerlies will be dominant over the seas exceeding in some cases 70km/h.

e. Unsettled weather may continue till 10/8/2020.

 

 

 

 

This June seems to be weird with dry and warm weather in north and cool-rainy in south Europe. This is gonna change in the next days, but for how long?

 

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According to the latest weather data, the atmospheric depressions in the ten-day period will follow a northern track. This will allow cooler, rainier and windier conditions in the north, while a fair weather system will shield south Europe for a while with dry and sunny weather.

In particular, Europe will be divided into two areas, a northern with unsettled or almost autumnal weather and a southern with dry and sunny weather around the average of the season. The regions from the north of Spain, France, north of Italy, north of Balkans and further to the north will be affected by coll, windy and rainy weather at times. Interestingly, there is even a possibility for some occasional snowfalls over Scandinavian mounts. Regions around north Spain, south France, north Italy, Switzerland and north-northwest Balkans will be mostly affected by afternoon/evening thunderstorms, which may be severe at places.

In south Europe, unsettled weather will make a break with warmer and drier conditions (around average). There is just a possibility for showers over the mounts of the northern areas of this region. Small possibility also occurs for a heat wave in south Iberia, south Italy and Cyprus.

 

This situation will be preserved till 4-6/2020, when unsettled weather will be back in south-southeast, while warm air masses may prefere again a northern track!

 

 

 

Significant weather change is expected in eastern Europe gradually the next days and especially from 10/7/2019 and then with temperature drop and afternoon thunderstorms. In contrast, a new heat wave may affect parts of Iberia and south France.

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In particular, part of cold air masses over Scandinavia and Russia will move southwards affecting central/eastern Europe (from Germany to Switzerland to Greece and Turkey) causing unsettled conditions with severe thunderstorms (increased possibilities for hailstorms) during afternoon/evening). In addition, the temperature will significantly drop to levels around or below average after a prolonged period of increased temperatures. As an exception, central/south Aegean and western Turkey will face dry and windy conditions (NE winds).

The cold air masses will remain over northeastern Europe, being dissipated, causing unsettled conditions with rainfalls at times and possibly strong winds at places. The temperatures will remain around or below average.

Unsettled conditions with (mostly) afternoon/evening thunderstorms may occur in northern Iberia with temperatures around average. In contrast, dry and warm conditions (with a possible heat wave) are expected in central/southern Iberia and southern France with temperatures >38°C.

Finally, in northwest Europe, the weather will remain within the climatological limits with periods of rain and sunny spells.

Europe may face extreme weather conditions and differences from places to places the last week (24-30/6/2019) of this June with a heat wave and heavy thunderstorms.

In particular, we expect a significant heat wave, which will affect Spain, Portugal, France, Germany, eastern/southern of England, Italy and Benelux with temperatures that may reach 34-36°C. However, the temperature may exceed 38-40°C at continental places of northwest Africa, central/eastern Spain and southern/central France. At this places dust advection will take place, but this will not be an extreme episode.

The weather will remain stormy with rain episodes at times in Ireland and western/northern UK. However, some storms may affect the UK as a whole at the end of this period.

For the rest of northern countries the weather is expected around normal with some rain episodes and temperatures around the average.

Unsettled conditions will possibly occur in central/eastern Balkans, continental eastern Europe and southern Alps/north Italy with thunderstorms mainly around afternoons and evenings. The temperatures will fluctuate around normal or below.

Etesians (north east winds) will settle over eastern Greece (Aegean) and western Turkey reaching up to 60km/h over seas some days in this period.

It should be noted that this is an overview of the weather in Europe and it cannot replace any official forecast of individual European countries.

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EUROPE WEATHER OVERVIEW MAP MAY

The weather is going to change dramatically the upcoming week in central and mainly eastern Europe from Sunday (12/5/2019) presenting autumnal traits.

 

In particular, from Sunday and then, the Azores anticyclone will be gradually developed and established in western Europe with a centre over the UK. This will result in better (fair and dry) weather conditions in western Europe with hot for the season temperatures over south and west Iberia (up to 35-37°C).

This situation will push colder arctic air masses to invade north and eastern Europe. Snow will occur in north-central Scandinavia even on lower ground regions, while some snow may be observed over hills/mounts in the northern regions of central/eastern Europe (such as eastern Germany, Poland etc).

Next, the majority of eastern Europe, from Italy and further to the east, will be affected by stormy and colder than average weather with rain at times and afternoon thunderstorms mostly in central and western regions. The most severe weather, where hailstorms may occur, is expected in eastern Italy, western Balkans and possibly regions of northeastern Balkans far from the sea.

The weather will remain fair, dry and hot in Cyprus and eastern Turkey.

 

The weather may completely be reversed from 18/5/2019 and then with a possible heat wave in southeastern Europe and rainy weather for the western.

 

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EUROPE WEATHER OVERVIEW MAP MAY

 

 

We faced a really warm 3-day period in the UK. High temperatures were recorded in SW England (up to 28.C) yesterday (Thursday 26/05/2017). High temperatures will be maintain today being followed by SE light-gentle breeze, offering a pleasant feeling. On the other side of Europe, in Greece, weather looks like autumn. Large amount of precipitation were recorded (up to 80mm during the last 24 hours) especially in North Greece, where temperature remains bellow 20s.
Here, we present a comparison between greek and british weather stations around lunchtime today (Friday 26/05/2017):

greek stations

uk

Back to British Isles, this hot wave is coming to an end on Saturday. As it usually happens, weather is going to change from SW after midnight with storms. Some places present high risk of storms following by lightning strikes. As picture is worth a thousand words, we present two storm risk maps for tomorrow:

morning

rest