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Mild weather in north and west Europe is coming to an end. Southeast regions will be the warmer european corner for the next ten days.

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While southeast Europe having a taste of autumn spells this week, the western regions enjoy mild weather. This scenery is going to rapidly change starting on 1/11/2019, as massive low pressure systems are expected to be developed and affect such regions turning weather pattern into a semi-wintry one.

In particular, the northwest countries (UK, Scandinavia -mostly western-, northern parts of continental Europe) should face consecutive cyclonic systems following by bands of severe rainfall and strong winds. In north and central parts of Scandinavia it is highly likely that the first significant snowfall episodes will occur even over lower ground regions. The rest of western and northern region of our continent will be affected by shortwave troughs, which will be turning the weather at times into rainy with some snow over mounts (Pyrenee and the Alps). The temperature in all these regions will remain around or below average.

Finally, in the southeast the weather will change into milder and warm for the season. Overcast is expected at times with some rain over western coasts as a result of the west flow regime. African dust transportation episodes may occur here.

 

This particular circulation pattern was being observed quite often this winter affecting with snow and cold weather the eastern Mediterranean. Here we analyse the scenarios for the last days of March 2019.

Gradually, within the last ten days of March, it seems that a strong anticyclonic system will be established over western Europe with its centre over the UK. If this happens, the colder air masses firstly located over Scandinavia will move southwards over eastern parts of Europe passing through Germany and Poland. In contrast, fair weather with foggy morning at places should be expected in the western parts of Europe (including the UK). Next, even if it is a bit of questionable, the cold air masses will move towards Balkans and eastern Mediterranean. Let’s see the three scenarios:

1. The cold air masses move to the west over Italy. In this scenario, the major activity will be observed in Italy and western Balkans with snow mainly over mounts and rainfalls for lower grounds. The cold air mass will be decayed and, thus, the temperature drop will not be significant.

2. The cold air masses move over Greece turning the weather into fairly wintry with low temperatures and snow in central-northern Greece and central-eastern Balkans over mounts and hills (possibility for snow on low grounds of northern regions).

3. The cold air masses move towards Aegean Sea and Turkey causing a short passage of cold weather and some rain (snow for higher grounds) in eastern Greece and heavy snowfalls in Turkey. Cyprus will be also affected with rain and snow over higher grounds.

 

In any of the cases, southern Iberia and northwestern coastal area of Africa will be affected by convection and storms.

 

You can stay informed about the weather following our facebook group and youtube channel.

You can monitor the current temperature observations in southern Balkans through our live maps HERE.

 

 

 

We faced a really warm 3-day period in the UK. High temperatures were recorded in SW England (up to 28.C) yesterday (Thursday 26/05/2017). High temperatures will be maintain today being followed by SE light-gentle breeze, offering a pleasant feeling. On the other side of Europe, in Greece, weather looks like autumn. Large amount of precipitation were recorded (up to 80mm during the last 24 hours) especially in North Greece, where temperature remains bellow 20s.
Here, we present a comparison between greek and british weather stations around lunchtime today (Friday 26/05/2017):

greek stations

uk

Back to British Isles, this hot wave is coming to an end on Saturday. As it usually happens, weather is going to change from SW after midnight with storms. Some places present high risk of storms following by lightning strikes. As picture is worth a thousand words, we present two storm risk maps for tomorrow:

morning

rest