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After a quite warm beginning of this autumn (excepting the northwest), most of Europe now is moving into a mild and rainy period.

 

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The high pressure field is being preserved over the Iberia. As a result, cyclonic systems are locating in north Atlantic ocean affecting mostly the northwest with rain and strong winds at times. These systems will tend to move eastwards affecting Scandinavia and the rest of northern Europe with some rain at times and snow for th north mountains and hills of Scandinavia. The weather in southern UK and central-north France will be unsettled with rainy periods and dry spells.

As Azores anticyclone will be still in Iberia, colder air will be pushed to the southeast, which may cause one or more cyclogeneses downwind the Alps. This will result in rainy weather over Italy, Balkans and regions of Turkey with the most severe phenomena being located in south Italy, western Balkans and western Turkey/eastern Aegean.

 

 

Significant weather change is expected in eastern Europe gradually the next days and especially from 10/7/2019 and then with temperature drop and afternoon thunderstorms. In contrast, a new heat wave may affect parts of Iberia and south France.

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In particular, part of cold air masses over Scandinavia and Russia will move southwards affecting central/eastern Europe (from Germany to Switzerland to Greece and Turkey) causing unsettled conditions with severe thunderstorms (increased possibilities for hailstorms) during afternoon/evening). In addition, the temperature will significantly drop to levels around or below average after a prolonged period of increased temperatures. As an exception, central/south Aegean and western Turkey will face dry and windy conditions (NE winds).

The cold air masses will remain over northeastern Europe, being dissipated, causing unsettled conditions with rainfalls at times and possibly strong winds at places. The temperatures will remain around or below average.

Unsettled conditions with (mostly) afternoon/evening thunderstorms may occur in northern Iberia with temperatures around average. In contrast, dry and warm conditions (with a possible heat wave) are expected in central/southern Iberia and southern France with temperatures >38°C.

Finally, in northwest Europe, the weather will remain within the climatological limits with periods of rain and sunny spells.