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October… in average! Estimation for 5-15/10/2019

After a quite warm beginning of this autumn (excepting the northwest), most of Europe now is moving into a mild and rainy period.

 

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The high pressure field is being preserved over the Iberia. As a result, cyclonic systems are locating in north Atlantic ocean affecting mostly the northwest with rain and strong winds at times. These systems will tend to move eastwards affecting Scandinavia and the rest of northern Europe with some rain at times and snow for th north mountains and hills of Scandinavia. The weather in southern UK and central-north France will be unsettled with rainy periods and dry spells.

As Azores anticyclone will be still in Iberia, colder air will be pushed to the southeast, which may cause one or more cyclogeneses downwind the Alps. This will result in rainy weather over Italy, Balkans and regions of Turkey with the most severe phenomena being located in south Italy, western Balkans and western Turkey/eastern Aegean.

 

 

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